Saturday, November 24, 2012

AFTER 2 MONTHS OF RETRACING OFF M.A. 200 ON THE W1 STERLING FOUNDS SUPPORT FOR TESTING 1.6000

IT BEEN APPROX. TWO MONTHS SINCE STERLING FAILED AGAIN TO FIND SUPPORT ABOVE THE M.A. 200 ON THE W1. TIME FRAME AGAIN, IN FACT WE HAVEN'T HAD SUPPORT ABOVE THIS M.A. SINCE BUSH WAS PRESIDENT.
SO THE LAST TWO MONTHS YES, STERLING HAS BEEN BEARISH.  BASICALLY I'M WRITING THIS BLOG DUE TO THE BULLISH RETRACEMENT THE LAST WEEK DATING BACK TO, 11/16/2012 (1.5834 LOW) STERLING HAS GAIN, 134 PIPS AND ACTUALLY HAD A 100+ PIP DAY ON FRIDAY, 11/23/2012 WHICH IS RARE, BUT DUE TO POSITIVE NEWS OUT OF THE EURO ZONE.

STERLING CLOSED ABOVE, 1.6000 AT 1.6032 GOING IN NEXT WEEK SEEKING SUPPORT FOR, 1.6000 WHICH IS A MAJOR SUPPORT LEVEL FOR BULLISH VOLUME TO RETURN.  NOTHING HAS CHANGED TECHNICALLY FOR STERLING, IT MUST FOUND SUPPORT ABOVE, 1.6175 ON THE W1. TIME FRAME, FOR YEARS IT JUST BEARS ONCE IT REACHES THE 200 M.A. ON THE W1. TIME FRAME, I WOULD SAY THERE'S A DIFFERENCE ON THIS BEARISH RETRACEMENT! IT HAS STOP AND RETRACE BULLISHLY OFF THE 60 M.A. ON THE W1. TIME FRAME.  NORMALLY THE GREENBACK JUST PUNISHES RIGHT THROUGH THE 60 M.A. AND CONTINUES TO BEAR, THIS TIME STERLING IS RECOVERING FASTER AND TECHNICALLY MUCH BETTER!

THE EURO ZONE FUNDAMENTALS SEEM TO BE IMPROVING THIS MAY HELP, STERLING MOMENTUM  BUT WHAT IS NEEDED IS BASICALLY FOR B.O.E. TO RAISE INTEREST RATES OR AT LEAST RAISE THE BANK RATES! NOTHING HAS BEEN DONE FOR A WHILE, A CHANGE IN POLICY WITH ONE OF THE TWO RATES WILL HELP STERLING GREATLY.

WITH THE EURO ZONE BEING LEAD BY THE "NON-CONSERVATIVES" AND THE UNITED STATES BEING LEAD BY, THE "NON-CONSERVATIVES" IT WILL BE VERY INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT THE MAJOR LIQUIDITY PROVIDERS FOR OUR WORLD ECONOMY DO, HISTORICALLY WITH CURRENT POLITICAL LEADERSHIP THEY WILL NOT COME IN!!  THE ECONOMY WILL OR WE WILL START THE "DOUBLE DIP" SOON..  HONESTY IT ISN'T SHOWING ANY SIGHTS YET, AS OF THIS BLOG THE DOW IS AT 13,000 SHOCKLEY AND STERLING IS ABOVE 1.6000 WITH A BULLISH DAY ON A "FRIDAY!"  SO WILL THE LIQUIDITY PROVIDERS COME IN DI SPITE WHO RUNNING THE WESTERN WORLD POLITICALLY OR WILL THEY RUN TOO ONE OF THE POPULAR EMERGING MARKETS! OR WILL THEY JUST SIT AND WAIT ON THE SIDE-LINES OR WORSE, SHORT THE MARKET AND CRUSH THE MASSES.  EMERGING MARKETS ARE THE BEST INVESTMENT!, WHICH WILL STILL DROP THE DOW, OR JUST MAYBE SOMETHING DIFFERENT AND NEW! MAY HAPPEN MAYBE THE PRIVATE SECTOR AND MAJOR LIQUIDITY PROVIDERS WILL OVER-LOOK WHO'S IN POLITICAL CONTROL, WHO'S RAISING TAXES! AND JUST DO WHAT'S BEST ECONOMICALLY AND RAISE THE ECONOMY!!  I DON'T THINK SO.....

WHAT ABOUT THE FOREX MARKET, WELL I HAVEN'T BEEN ABLE TO DO ANY POSITIVE SUPER ACTIVE TRADING TECHNICALLY SINCE MAY OF THIS YEAR, EVEN THOUGH THE MONTH OF AUGUST WAST BULLISH.  BASICALLY HOLDING ON TWO A POSITION TRADE FOR NOW, THE VOLUME IS BELOW AVERAGE, SLOW, CHANNELING AND THE GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS THIS YEAR ARE POINTING TOWARDS A DOUBLE-DIP EVENT THOUGH NOTHING BY THE NUMBERS SAY THIS, BUT IT'S STILL VERY EARLIER LETS SEE WERE WE ARE THE END OF THE SUMMER OF 2013.  AS FOR STRONG TRADING VOLUME OF A BULLISH NATURE OR TRENDS ESPECIALLY IF THE MARKETS BEGINS TO FALL IN FOREX THE SAVE-HAVEN CURRENCY IS THE GREENBACK, YOU CAN REVIEW PREVIOUS BLOGS  OF MINE THAT COVER THIS SITUATION TECHNICALLY.  IF YOU CHOOSE NOT TO GO THE SAVE-HAVEN ROUTE, KEEP A EYE ON THE STERLING AND THE AUSSIE FOR STRONG COUNTER-TREND BULLISH TRADES & TRENDS DURING THE DOUBLE-DIP.  A SAFE WAY TO ALSO TRADE IS JUST TO FOLLOW THE FUNDAMENTAL RESULTS OF THE PAIRS AND JUMP IN AND OUT OF THE VOLUME BASE ON THE RESULTS OF THE EVENT.

WEEKLY TECHNICALS FOR STERLING FOR THE WEEK ENDING 11/30/2012

BULLISH SUPPORT FOR STERLING FOR THIS WEEK IS, 1.5940 (CLOSED AT 1.6032) THE NEXT LEVEL OF RESISTANCE TO BREAK IS, 1.6004 A BULLISH STERLING CONTINUES AND BREAKS 1.6045 AND A STRONG STERLING BULL REACHES, 1.6106 AND HIGHER THIS WEEK..

IF STERLING RETRACES BEARISH OFF OF 1.5940 THE NEXT LEVEL TO LOOK FOR SUPPORT IS, 1.5876 IF STERLING CONTINUES TO BEAR THE NEXT LEVEL WILL BE 1.5835 AND FINALLY IF STERLING CONTINUES TO FALL IT MAY HIT A LEVEL OF 1.5774 BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS THIS WEEK.

DAILY TECHNICALS FOR STERLING FOR MONDAY'S SESSION 11/26/2012

BULLISH SUPPORT FOR STERLING IS AT, 1.5970 (STERLING CLOSED AT 1.6032) THE NEXT LEVEL FOR STERLING TO REACH IS, 1.6017 A BULLISH STERLING CONTINUES THIS SESSION TO 1.6047 AND A STRONG BULL REACHES AND BREAKS 1.6092 FOR TODAYS SESSION, 11/26/2012.

IF STERLING RETRACES BEARISH BELOW 1.5970 THE NEXT LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.5923 IF THIS LEVEL DOESN'T HOLD THE NEXT LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.5893 IF STERLING CONTINUES BEARISH THE FINALLY LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.5848 BEFORE STERLING FINDS BULLISH VOLUME.

REMEMBER FUNDAMENTAL DATA SUPERSEDES TECHNICAL DATA, CHECK YOUR ECONOMIC CALENDAR DAILY FOR EVENT OPPORTUNITIES.

TRADE WITH THE TREND!

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Wednesday, September 19, 2012

BOE., MINUTES NOT HAWKISH STERLING TECHNICALLY RETRACES

STERLING HIT A HIGH OF 1.6270 BEFORE THE RELEASE OF THE BOE'S STATEMENT. SINCEMTHERE WAS NO HAWKISH DEVELOPMENT, WE SAW A TECHNICAL RETRACEMENT OR PROFIT TAKING.  STERLING TO TESTED A KEY TECHNICAL SUPPORT LEVEL TODAY, HITTING A SESSION LOW OF 1.6183 DURING THE U.S.D. SESSION, WHICH IS THE TECHNICAL SUPPORT OF THE 200 M.A. OF THE W1 TIME FRAME.  STERLING REACH, 1.6235 AFTERWARDS

TECHNICALS FOR STERLING FOR TODAY'S SESSION:


A BULLISH STERLING FINDS SUPPORT AT, 1.6227 THE NEXT RESISTANCE LEVEL TO REACH IS, 1.6260 A POSITIVE TREND WILL DEVELOP TO, 1.6281 AND FINALLY A STRONG BULL REACHES 1.6312 OR HIGHER FOR TODAY'S SESSION.

NON SUPPORT FOR STERLING AT, 1.6227 WE CAN LOOK FOR SUPPORT AT, 1.6194 IF THE TREND CONTINUES BEARISH, THE NEXT LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.6173 AND FINALLY A SUPPORT LEVEL OF, 1.6142 COULD BE REACH BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FUNDAMENTAL, PLEASE REVIEW YOUR ECONOMIC CALENDER!!  TODAY'S SESSION HAS A GREAT DEAL OF RELEASES, (((ALL TIMES, EST.)))

1:00 A.M. STATUS HIGH, BANK OF JAPAN'S MONTHLY ECONOMIC REPORT.

2:00 A.M. STATUS HIGH, EURO RELEASE, PRODUCER PRICE-GERMANY.

4:30 A.M. STATUS MEDIUM., STERLING, RETAIL SALES.

8:30 A.M. STATUS MEDIUM, USD, INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS.

10:00 A.M. STATUS MEDIUM, USD, PHILIA. FED. REPORT.
(FED MEMBERS WILL BE SPEAKING THROUGHOUT TODAY DURING THE USD SESSION AS WELL).

TRADE WITH THE TREND!

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Tuesday, September 18, 2012

STERLING SHOWING BULLISH TECHNICAL VOLUME

THIS HAS BEEN THE STRONGEST STERLING IS BEEN, POST RECESSION.  THIS YEAR THE FIRST FOUR MONTHS WERE VERY BULLISH, STERLING TOOK A MAJOR RETRACEMENT UNTIL MID JULY.  NOW THE LAST 7 WEEKS STERLING HAS BEEN BULLISH 850 PIPS AND IS TESTING THE 200 M.A. OF THE W1 TIME FRAME WHICH HAS BEEN THE MAJOR TECHNICAL RESISTANCE FOR STERLING THE PAST TWO YEARS.

STERLING NEEDS TO STAY ABOVE, 1.6180 TO REMAIN BULLISH, THE TREND OR BID PRICE AS OF THIS BLOG IS 1.6237, STERLING HIT A HIGH OF 1.6277 ON MONDAY ONLY 27 PIPS BELOW THE HIGH OF THE YEAR, WHICH WAS POSITIVE. BULLISH SUPPORT IS FORMING, IT SEEMS TO BE BUYER IN THE 1.6230'S... THE NEXT TEST FOR STERLING IS IN THE RANGE OF 1.6330, TECHNICALLY ONCE WE FIND SUPPORT HERE, TECHNICALLY ANY MAJOR RETRACEMENT WILL NOT EXIST, FROM A TECHNICAL POINT OF VIEW THAT IS, FUNDAMENTAL AND GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS ARE  FACTORS.

STERLING TECHNICALS FOR TODAY'S SESSION:

SUPPORT FOR BULLISH STERLING IS, 1.6242 THE NEXT LEVEL TOO REACH IS, 1.6260 IF THAT LEVEL OF RESISTANCE IS BROKE, 1.6271 SHOULD BE REACH AND A STRONG STERLING FOR TODAY'S SESSION WILL TOUCH, 1.6288.

IF STERLING DOESN'T FIND SUPPORT AT, 1.6242 THE NEXT LEVEL IS, 1.6224 IF STERLING BEAR'S THE NEXT LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.6213 AND FINALLY IF THE TREND CONTINUES DOWN THE FINAL SUPPORT BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS IS, 1.6196 FOR TODAY'S SESSION.

FUNDAMENTAL STATUS, HIGH!!! MAJOR SESSION MOVER.

4:30 A.M. EST. BANK OF ENGLAND MINUTES......
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALSO IN THE U.S.A., STATUS, MED. AT 8:30 A.M.   2 RELEASE.
10:00 A.M., STATUS, MED.  EXISTING HOME SALES AND AT 10:30 A.M. EST. CRUDE OIL INVENTORY, STATUS LOW, BUT CAN MOVE THE MARKET, DEPENDING..

TRADE WITH THE TREND!!
REVIEW YOUR ECONOMIC CALENDAR DAILY!

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND HAVE A GREAT DAY..

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Tuesday, May 15, 2012

STERLING IS TECHNICALLY BEARISH, RECOVER WILL BE BASE ON THIS SESSION'S FUNDAMENTAL RELEASES

Today we saw Sterling fall, a major bear trend is developing and technically Sterling can't be recommended, fundamentally Sterling needs a Hawkish statement from B.O.E. in this sessions
Inflation Report.  If Sterling continues to bear after today's fundamental releases, Sterling will not be a technical bull!

From a technical point of view, mid-term Sterling needs to find major bullish support if it falls to
1.5903, if the level doesn't find support the next major level for Sterling is, 1.5784 but at these levels
Sterling can't be recommended bullishly.  Dropping below, 1.5750 means major U.S.D. bull, Safe-Haven trading is in play and possibly the beginning of a Global Double-Dip recession!!!! (review
previous blogs from 11/2011 for details.)

So what happen, other than the Geo-Political data coming out of the E.U. and no Interest Rate increase from B.O.E....  From a technical point of view Sterling hasn't broken the resistance level of a Major 200 moving average on the Weekly time frame (W1) of your trading plate form now for over a
year!!!  That 200 M.A. is currently at, 1.6286 technically Sterling needs to beat the resistance and bull past this Moving Average to base a Med-term and Long-term technical bull.  Falling below 1.6000 really is a major warning sign.... Time will tell.....

Please check your economic calendar for details of today's session:

4:30 a.m. EST. G.B.P., Status-High 1
                                             Med  1

5:30 a.m. EST. G.B.P., Status-High 1, ****Inflation Report****

8:30 a.m. EST. U.S.D., Status-Med 2
9:15 a.m. EST. U.S.D., Status-Med 1
10:30 a.m. EST. U.S.D., Status-Low (Crude Oil Inventories**) possible strong volume.

2:00 p.m. EST. U.S.D., Status-High 1, F.O.M.C. minutes will be release!

Basically this is it!! If the releases for Sterling aren't Hawkish! and the U.S.D fundamentals support a strong Dollar, the technical bull for Sterling for the Mid-term will be over, Safe-Haven trading technically and fundamentally will be in play...

Daily technical's for Sterling:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6025 (currently 1.5986, bearish)(8:05 p.m. EST.) Sterling must
find support at, 1.6025 once this resistance level is broke bullishly the next level to break will be, 1.6074 if bullish volume continues for Sterling the next resistance level is, 1.6106 and finally a strong bullish Sterling finishes the session reaching, 1.6152 and higher!!

If Sterling continues to bear below, 1.6025 the next level for support will be, 1.5976 if this support level is broken bearishly the next technical level for support is, 1.5944 and finally if the bear trend continues the finally level for support for Sterling will be, 1.5898 before bullish volume will return..

Trade with the Trend!!!

Thank you for your time a have a great day.

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FOOTNOTE: Future blog posting will be suspended until technical level return for a bullish market, please review previous blogs.,(11/2011) for Major support and resistance levels during this type of or current market condition, potential Safe-Haven environment.....Actually this decision will be base on the results of today's fundamental releases!!!!


Monday, May 14, 2012

STERLING BULLS THROUGH THE U.S.D. SESSION TO TECHNICAL BULLISH LEVELS.

Sterling hit a high today of, 1.6122 at 11:00 a.m. EST.  Technical support for was at, 1.6091 going into today's session, Sterling reach that point at 10:15 a.m. EST.

Daily technical's for Sterling:

Technical support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6089 (currently 1.6087)(9:09 p.m. EST), the next level of resistance to break is, 1.6116 a bullish Sterling next bullish resistance level is, 1.6134 and finally a strong bullish Sterling reaches, 1.6160 or higher in today's session.

If Sterling doesn't find bullish support at, 1.6089 the next level of support is, 1.6062 if the support level doesn't hold Sterling may bear too, 1.6044.  Finally if bearish volume continues the last level of support is, 1.6018 before bullish volume will return.

Please check your Economic Calendar a good number of releases for today's session!!!:

9:30 a.m. EST. Status-1 HIGH: AUSSIE.
2:00 a.m. EST. Status-3 HIGH: EURO.
4:30 a.m. EST. Status-1 MEDIUM: STERLING.
5:00 a.m. EST. Status-3 HIGH: EURO.
5:00 a.m. EST. Status-6 MEDIUM: EURO.
8:30 a.m. EST. Status-3 HIGH: U.S.D.
8:30 a.m. EST. Status-4 MEDIUM: U.S.D.
9:00 a.m. EST. Status-2 MEDIUM: U.S.D.
7:50 p.m. EST. Status-3 MEDIUM: J.P.Y.

Trend with the trend!
Thank you for your time and have a great day.

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Saturday, May 12, 2012

FUNDAMENTAL RELEASES AND GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS BEAR STERLING TO CLOSE THE WEEK.

This last day of the trading session say Sterling fall hitting a low of, 1.6060 near the end of this week trading.  The bearish trend Sterling has been experiencing this week is due to Geo-political Events coming out of the, E.U. and a large number of fundamental release after, B.O.E.'s interest rate decision that came out on, Thursday basically it was all bearish after that.

Sterling did a a couple of strong Counter-trend bull moves this week, on the 7Th, 9Th, and 10Th, but for the most part it was a bearish week...

Daily technical s' for Sterling going in Sundays open thru Monday session:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6091 (closed at 1.6072) the next resistance level for a bullish Sterling to break is, 1.6122 if trend continues bullish the next level to reach will be, 1.6141 and finally a strong bullish Sterling hits a hit of, 1.6170 and higher in the first day of the trading week.

If Sterling doesn't find bullish support at, 1.6091 the next level will be, 1.6060 if this doesn't hold
the next support level is, 1.6041 if bearish volume continues the final support level is, 1.6012 before bullish volume returns for Sterling.

Weekly technical s' for Sterling going into week ending 05/18/2012

Support for bullish Sterling for the week is, 1.6111 (closed at 1.6072) the next resistance level for a bullish Sterling to break is, 1.6162 if bullish volume continues the next resistance level the break this week will be, 1.6195 and a strong bull hits and exceeds, 1.6244 this week!

If Sterling doesn't find support at 1.6111 the next level of support is, 1.6058 if Sterling continues to bear support is at, 1.6025 and finally the last support level is, 1.5976 before Sterling recovers with bullish volume for the week.

It seems that Sterling has been having a technical issues breaking the resistance of a, 200 M.A. that's floating around, 1.6285 on the W1 time frame (Weekly).  For over a year now Sterling has a difficult time with this bullish resistance level... Once this resistance is broken and finds support we'll have a high probability it will be another bull run!!

Check your economic calendar
Trade with the trade

Have a great day!
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Thursday, May 10, 2012

NO RATE INCREASE, STERLING STILLS BULLS FOR 85 PIPS FROM SESSION LOW TO HIGH!

THERE WAS NO RATE INCREASE, THERE NOT MUCH ELSE TO SAY, THE BOTTOM LINE IS WHEN THERE'S A RATE DECISION, DEPENDING ON WHAT LEVEL TRADER YOU ARE, IT CAN BE A GREAT DAY, IF THEY ARE HAWKISH AND YOU ARE ON THE CORRECT SIDE OF THE TRADE, I'M TALKING ABOUT A 150  TO 250 PIP BULL MOVE MAYBE MORE.. THAT'S A GREAT DAY FOR A TRADER.  B.O.E. STATEMENT WAS FIRM, NOT DOVISH...

STERLING DID BULL PAST THE SECOND RESISTANCE LEVEL, 1.6174 IN TODAY'S SESSION TO HIT, A HIGH OF, 1.6181..(10:15 A.M. EST.)

OK, GOING INTO FRIDAY THE LAST DAY OF THE WEEK, BE CAREFUL, THERE IS A LOT OF FUNDAMENTAL DATA COMING OUT INTERNATIONALLY THIS LAST DAY OF THE TRADING WEEK, MORE THAN I HAVE SEEN IN A LONG TIME..... THIS LAST DAY SEEMS TO BE FULL OF FUNDAMENTAL TRADING SESSIONS, NOT TECHNICAL!!


MAJOR FUNDAMENTAL RELEASE, WHEN I SAY MAJOR I TALKING ABOUT THE NUMBER OF RELEASE WORLDWIDE:

11 RELEASES FOR CHINA BETWEEN, 9:30 P.M. EST.  AND 1:30 A.M.  EST.
2 STATUS-HIGH
6 STATUS-MEDIUM
3 STATUS-LOW

5 RELEASES FOR THE EURO BETWEEN, 2:00 A.M. EST AND 5:00 A.M. EST.
3 STATUS-HIGH
2 STATUS-MEDIUM

6 RELEASES FOR STERLING AT, 4:30 A.M. EST.
3 STATUS-MEDIUM
3 STATUS-LOW

5 RELEASES FOR CAD AT, 8:30 A.M. EST.
2 STATUS-HIGH
2 STATUS-MEDIUM

5 RELEASES FOR U.S.D. BETWEEN, 8:30 A.M. EST. AND 9:55 A.M. EST.
1 STATUS-HIGH
2 STATUS-MEDIUM
2 STATUS-LOW



DAILY TECHNICAL'S FOR STERLING:

SUPPORT FOR A BULLISH STERLING IS, 1.6131 (CURRENTLY AT, 1.6131)(8:08 P.M. EST.)
THE NEXT BULLISH RESISTANCE LEVEL TO BREAK IS, 1.6169 IF THE TREND CONTINUES BULLISH THE NEXT LEVEL WILL BE TECHNICALLY, 1.6194 AND A STRONG BULL REACHES A BULLISH LEVEL OF 1.6230 AND HIGHER IN TODAY'S SESSION...

IF STERLING DOESN'T FIND BULLISH SUPPORT AT, 1.6131 THE NEXT SUPPORT LEVEL WILL BE, 1.6093 IF BEARISH VOLUME CONTINUES THE NEXT TECHNICAL SUPPORT LEVEL IS, 1.6068 AND FINALLY IF THE TREND CONTINUES TO DROP THE LAST LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.6032 BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS.

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT FUNDAMENTAL DATA, SUPERSEDES TECHNICAL DATA,
THE NUMBER OF RELEASES ARE SO HIGH IF YOUR CURRENTLY FLOATING ANY
NEGATIVE LOTS, YOU SHOULD CLOSE THEM OUT AND WAIT FOR THE DATA, IF DOING THIS PROCEDURE DECREASES YOU BALANCE TOO MUCH, YOUR SITTING IN NEGATIVE TRADES TWO LONG....

TRADE WITH THE TREND.........

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND HAVE A GREAT DAY....
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Wednesday, May 9, 2012

BEARISH STERLING RETRACES TREND DURING U.S.D. SESSION

With the Geo-political data coming to a end out of the E.U. we saw Sterling  today hit a low of,
1.6065 which was 26 pips below the third technical support level at, 8:30 a.m. EST.  From this point
Sterling finish today's session with power hitting, 1.6149 at, 7:33 p.m. EST. fundamentally China's data may have gave Sterling the extra bull near the end of the session.

Furthermore fundamentally we have a more favorable environment too finish the week bullish for
Sterling starting with two, statue-HIGH releases coming out for the Aussie actually this release will
come out just before this blog is published, being it's about 10 minutes from the time I'm writing it now.

The Euro has one status-HIGH release coming out at, 4:00 a.m. EST.

Finally!!!!  Sterling has a huge amount of fundamental data:
three status-MEDIUM releases at, 4:30 a.m. EST.
four status-LOW releases at, 4:30 a.m. EST.
two status-HIGH releases at, 7:00 a.m. EST. B.O.E. RATE DECISION!!!!!!!Hawk

If the tone is Hawkish look for a major bull from Sterling after the rate decision data is release...
A rate increase would bull Sterling greatly!!!

Daily technical's for Sterling:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6118 (currently at 1.6138)(9:32 p.m. EST) if Sterling continues
it bullish trend the next level to break technically is, 1.6152 after that the next level to break is, 1.6174
and a strong Sterling hits, 1.6206 and higher during today's session!!!

If Sterling doesn't find bullish support at, 1.6118 the next level too look for support is at, 1.6084 if this level
of support is broken bearishly the next level is, 1.6062 and finally if a bearish trend continues the last
technical level to look for support is, 1.6030.

Just a footnote: the Aussie release was, bullish...

Trade with the trade!!!!

Thank you for your time and have a great day!

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Tuesday, May 8, 2012

RETRACING STERLING FORMING DAILY TECHNICAL DOUBLE BOTTOM, BULLISH INDICATOR!

Sterling retrace yesterdays bullish volume forming a technical double bottom, which is a bullish indicator.
The issues are, the fundamental data and Geo-political data coming out of the Euro-Zone, it seems
these two forms of data are leading the market the last 4-5 trading days, so you see more of a
save-haven environment, meaning U.S.D. bull almost in every currency pair.... (AUD/USD)

Daily technicals for Sterling:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6149 (currently at, 1.6132)(12:00 a.m. EST.)
If Sterling recovers to find support at 1.6149 the next level to break will be, 1.6171 if Sterling
continues to recover the next level is, 1.6186 and a strong bull hits, 1.6207 and higher.

However, Sterling is technically bearish for today being below, 1.6149 if this continues
the next level to find support is, 1.6127 if this level doesn't hold Sterling may continue
bearish to, 1.6112 and the final technical level for a bearish Sterling is, 1.6091 before
bullish volume returns.  Note: if the last level doesn't find support basically it means a major
bear has already started and has a high % of continue through out the day.

Fundamentally, we have a status, "Med" release for the Euro at, 2:00 a.m. EST..
10:30 a.m. EST. Crude oil inventories out of the States, status is "Low" but the
release seem to create strong volume!! Depending on details of the data.........

Trade with the trend!

Thank you for your time and have a great day!

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Monday, May 7, 2012

BULLISH STERLING 99% RETRACEMENT FROM FRIDAY'S "GEO-POLITICAL" NON-FARM REPORT.

RECAP, IN MY LAST BLOG, I WROTE I DIDN'T SEE ANY FUNDAMENTAL OR TECHNICAL REASON FOR FRIDAY'S NON-FARM VOLUME, WHICH SHOWED DOLLAR STRENGTH ACROSS THE BOARD.  WELL THE VOLUME WASN'T, NON-FARM NUMBERS, IT WAS, "GEO-POLITICAL" VOLUME.  DUE TO THE, FRENCH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION AND THE, GREEK PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS BEING HELD OVER THE WEEKEND.  GEO-POLITICAL EVENTS CAN SUPERSEDE FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL DATA, SINCE THEY ARE A RARE EVENT WHICH CAN EFFECT OUR FINANCIAL SYSTEM DEPENDING ON WHAT EXACTLY HAPPENS.

Ok, Sterling was +84 pips today from it's low to high strong bullish directional trend almost all day!
Basically retracing all of Friday's bearish volume.


Sterling technical's for today's session:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6166 (current value, 1.6175) the next level to break is, 1.6198 after that level finds bullish support the next value is, 1.6218 and a strong Sterling reaches, 1.6248 and higher for today's session.

If Sterling doesn't find support at, at, 1.6166 it may bear to, 1.6134 if bearish volume continues the next support level is, 1.6114 and finally if the support level is broken, Sterling could hit a technical level of 1.6084 before bullish volume returns....

Not much fundamentally in the Sterling Session, please always check your economic calendar.
The Asian/Aussie session had more bearish volume for the Aussie and interest rates were drop last week!!!  Fundamentally Aussie has been below average and technically bearish.

Trade with the Trend...

Thank you for your time a have a great day.
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Friday, May 4, 2012

NON-FARM FRIDAY, U.S.D. DOMINATES WITH WEAK DATA???

NON-FARM FRIDAY OFFERED PLENTY OF VOLUME TO TRADE BEFORE AND AFTER THE RELEASE TODAY, MOSTLY U.S.D. STRENGTH, EVEN THOUGH THE REPORT WAS WEAK!
NORMALLY IF THE JOBS NUMBERS ARE WEAK, THE DOLLAR TUMBLES.  TODAY THE DOLLAR DOMINATED!, EVERY CURRENCY PAIR I REVIEW SHOWED DOLLAR BULL!  FUNDAMENTALLY OR TECHNICALLY I CAN'T EXPLAIN THE DIRECTION OF THE TREND TODAY. LOOK FOR CORRECTION NEXT WEEK..

STERLING DID SHOW A LOT OF STRENGTH TODAY EVEN WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE U.S.D IT TESTED THE DAILY SUPPORT OF BULLISH VOLUME, 1.6187 MOST OF  TODAYS SESSION UNTIL 9:00 A.M. EST. HITTING 1.6201 AFTER THAT, STERLING RETRACED TOO A WEEK LOW OF, 1.6139 AROUND, 11:30 A.M. EST. CLOSED AT, 1.6148 JUST -39 PIPS FROM IT'S DAILY BULLISH SUPPORT LEVEL, NOT BAD CONSIDERING.

STERLING DID HIT A GREAT HIGH OF 1.6300 THIS WEEK, MONDAY BUT RETRACE THE REST OF THE WEEK CLOSING FRIDAY AT, 1.6148 LONDON CLOSE SHOWS, 1.6153.

 DAILY TECHNICALS FOR STERLING GOING INTO SUNDAY'S OPEN:

BULLISH SUPPORT FOR STERLING IS AT, 1.6163 (CLOSED 1.6148)WHEN BULLISH VOLUMES CONTINUES TO NEXT LEVEL TO BREAK WILL BE, 1.6187 THEN 1.6201 AND A STRONG BULL HITS, 1.6224 AND HIGHER SUNDAY THRU MONDAY SESSION.

IF SUPPORT ISN'T FOUND AT 1.6163 THE STERLING MAY DROP TO 1.6139 IF VOLUME CONTINUES TO BEAR THE NEXT LEVEL FOR SUPPORT IS, 1.6125 AND FINALLY IF STERLING BEAR CONTINUES IT COULD HIT, 1.6102 BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS.

WEEKLY TECHNCIALS FOR STERLING GOING INTO NEXT WEEK ENDING 05/11/2012

BULLISH SUPPORT IS AT, 1.6196 IF STERLING CONTINUES THE NEXT LEVEL TOO BREAK IS, 1.6257 ONCE SUPPORT IS FOUND THE NEXT BULLISH LEVEL IS 1.6296 AND FINALLY A STRONG BULL HITS A HIGH OF, 1.6354 OR HIGHER BY 05/11/2012

IF STERLING DOESN'T FIND SUPPORT AT, 1.6196 THIS WEEK THE NEXT LEVEL TO TEST WILL BE 1.6135 IF THE LEVEL IS BROKEN BEARISHLY THE NEXT SUPPORT LEVEL IS, 1.6096 AND FINALLY IF STERLING CONTINUES TO BEAR IT COULD HIT A LOW OF, 1.6038 BEFORE BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS.

REMEMBER, TRADE WITH THE TREND

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND HAVE A GREAT DAY.
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Thursday, May 3, 2012

WAITING FOR NON-FARM? WELL MAYBE NOT!

YES, THIS IS NON-FARM WEEK, BULLISH VOLUME FOR STERLING IS A LITTLE LOW, WHICH IS TOO BE EXPECTED, MOST OF THE TIME.

STERLING TECHNICALS GOING IN NON-FARM FRIDAY:

SUPPORT FOR A BULLISH STERLING IS, 1.6187... CURRENTLY STERLING IS AT, 1.6184 (8:24 P.M. EST.) THE NEXT TECHNICAL LEVEL TO BREAK BULLISHLY IS, 1.6208 IF SUPPORT IS FOUND THE NEXT LEVEL WILL BE, 1.6222 AND FINALLY A STRONG BULLISH STERLING HITS 1.6242 AND ABOVE FOR NON-FARM FRIDAY.

IF STERLING DOESN'T FIND SUPPORT AT 1.6187 THE NEXT TECHNICAL LEVEL IS, 1.6166 IF BEARISH VOLUME CONTINUES THE NEXT LEVEL FOR SUPPORT IS, 1.6152... FINALLY IF NOT BULLISH SUPPORT IS FOUND AT THIS POINT, STERLING MAY HIT, 1.6132...

ALSO, EVERYONE IS FOCUS ON, NON-FARM NUMBERS DUE OUT OF THE STATES, BUT THERE IS SOME STRONG OR STATUS HIGH FUNDAMENTAL RELEASES DUE OUT DOING THE ASIAN SESSION AND THE STERLING SESSION!!!, STARTING IN ABOUT A HOUR WITH A RELEASE FOR THE AUSSIE, STATUS-HIGH........

THE FRANC HAS RETAIL SALES NUMBER DUE OUT, STATUS-MED..3:15 A.M. EST..
THE EURO HAS ABOUT 5 FUNDAMENTAL RELEASES DUE OUT BETWEEN 3:45 A.M. EST. AND 4:00 A.M. EST, STATUES-LOW THRU HIGH...

WELL, WE ARE TRAINED TO BE SAFE THE LAST DAY OF WEEK, ESPECIALLY DOING NON-FARM FRIDAY, BUT BASE ON THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THIS EVENING AND THE STERLING SESSION, WE SHOULD HAVE STRONG VOLUME FROM THESE RELEASES BEFORE NON-FARM AT, 8:30 A.M. EST FRIDAY....

TRADE WITH THE TREND!
THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND HAVE A GREAT DAY.
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MINI-RECAP OF LAST WEEK, ENDING 04/27/2012 THRU 05/02/2012, STERLING-BULLISH!

THIS RECAP WILL BE BRIEF IS DUE TO MY 4GB MONTHLY INTERNET SERVICE WHICH I HAVE HAD THE PAST FOUR MONTHS WITH NO PROBLEMS,  BEING CANCELLED FIVE DAY EARLY!! & 30 MINUTES BEFORE THE F.O.M.C. RELEASE ON 04/25/2012, WEDNESDAY!  Hmmm.....

OK, OK, BASICALLY STERLING FINISH THE WEEK BULLISH, WHAT ABOUT STERLING DURING F.O.M.C. MORNING, AFTER A WEAK GDP REPORT AND HITTING 1.6080, STERLING SHOW NO WEAKNESS TECHNICALLY OR FUNDAMENTALLY, IN FACT STERLING HIT, 1.6155 MINUTES BEFORE THE F.O.M.C. RELEASE.... I WAS OUT OF MY STERLING LOTS AT, 1.6126 AROUND 9:30 A.M., (SHOULD HAVE KEPT THEM)

BASICALLY STERLING CLOSED THE WEEK +174 PIPS, WHICH ACTUALLY HAPPEN BETWEEN WEDNESDAY THRU FRIDAY (THAT'S FROM THE WEEK LOW TO THE WEEK HIGH)
HITTING, 1.6279 IN THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY TOO CLOSE THE WEEK WITH POWER! BREAKING TWO BULLISH RESISTANCE LEVELS AND JUST BELOW THE THIRD TECHNICAL LEVEL OF 1.6343 FOR THE WEEK.

GOING IN NEXT WEEK, WHICH BY THIS BLOG, IT'S ALREADY THURSDAY MAY 03,2012... I WILL OFFER THE TECHNICALS  FOR THE WEEK BUT NOT FOR EACH PERVIOUS DAY, IF NEED PLEASE CONTACT US.  OH, THIS IS NON-FARM WEEK!!, FUNDAMENTALLY THE MOST IMPORTANT RELEASE OF THE MONTH, FIRST FRIDAY OF MOST MONTHS, TRADITIONALLY A LOT OF VOLUME IS ON THE SIDE-LINES UNTIL FRIDAY, OR YOU MY NOTICE A, U.S.D. DOLLAR BULL IN A FEW CURRENCY PAIRS.

STERLINGS TECHNICALS FOR THE WEEK:

A BULLISH STERLING FINDS SUPPORT AT, 1.6204 THE NEXT LEVEL TO BREAK IS, 1.6280 IF STERLING CONTINUES TO FIND BULLISH VOLUME THE NEXT TECHNICAL LEVEL IS 1.6327 AND FINALLY A VERY STRONG STERLING HITS, 1.6399 OR HIGHER THIS WEEK.

IF STERLING DOESN'T FIND SUPPORT AT 1.6204 THIS WEEK THE NEXT LEVEL OF SUPPORT IS, 1.6128 IF STERLING CONTINUES TO BEAR IT COULD HIT, 1.6086 AND FINALLY IF NO BULLISH VOLUME RETURNS IT MAY TOUCH, 1.6009....

STERLING HIT, 1.6300 /04/30/2012 MONDAY AND HAS BEEN RETRACING SINCE, LIKE I SAID THIS IS NON-FARM WEEK, IF THE REPORT IS WEAK FRIDAY FOR THE U.S.D., FUNDAMENTALLY STERLING WILL HIT, +1.6327 TOO CLOSE THE WEEK..

ONE ADDITIONAL FACT, AUD/USD  PAIR...IS SHOWING MAJOR  U.S.D. STRENGTH THIS YEAR...THE AUSSIE IS BASICALLY THE ONLY CURRENCY THAT HELD IT'S GROUND DURING THIS GREAT RES-SESSION  BUT IT'S FOUR YEAR REIGN LOOKS LIKE IT'S OVER, OR DUE FOR A MAJOR RETRANCEMENT LIKE TOO, 0.9211.(TECHNICALLY).. THE FUNDAMENTAL QUESTION IS, WILL THEY DROP THERE INTEREST RATE????? IF NOT! THE AUSSIE WILL RECOVER...

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND HAVE A GREAT DAY,

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Tuesday, April 24, 2012

TECHNICALLY, STERLING HAD A, STRONG DAY.

Hitting 1.6108 just a hour and half after the days session started (which was the support level for bullish volume) Sterling technically dominates the European session hitting a high of 1.6162 by 7:30 a.m. EST!
With the start of the U.S.D  Forex market which is, 8:00 a.m. EST. Sterling begin the session retracing from the high most of the day, but there were very strong scalping counter-trend trades available thought out the day, it's best to reduce your lot size when counter-trend trading.

Today's technical levels:

Support for a bullish Sterling is, 1.6137 (Sterling is currently at, 1.6137, time-10:10 p.m. EST.) the next level to break is, 1.6158 if Sterling finds support it should be bullish too level, 1.6170 and a strong Sterling hits a high of or around, 1.6190 and above for today's session.

If Sterling doesn't find support at 1.6137 it could bear down too, 1.6116 if that level doesn't find bullish support the next technical level is, 1.6104 if bearish volume continues Sterling could hit a level of, 1.6084 before bullish volume resumes.

Today session is full of fundamental events!!!! fundamental event sessions like today will or can effect technical forecast!!  Please review your Economic calendar for details, especially today's session!!  Today could be a good day just too fundamental trade or event trade, it's your decision!

 GBP....4:30 a.m. EST. two statues, High releases, five more releases at, 6:00 a.m. EST. statues, Low.

Today is, F.O.M.C. so that's a major fundamental event beware!, plus at 8:30 a.m. EST. out of the U.S.D. we have a statues, High release, "Durable Goods Orders". look for some strong volume.  The F.O.M.C. releases start at, 12:30 p.m. EST. and continue though out the mid-afternoon in the states, this fundamental events normally has strong market reactions!! so be careful of the number of lots or positions you have doing this time or this session....

Trade with the trend!, thank you for your time and have a great day.
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Monday, April 23, 2012

STERLING CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN POWER.

Sterling continues to maintain power today hitting a high of 1.6133 around 4:30 p.m EST. The low today was 1.6075 at 10:30 a.m. EST. so it was a strong late morning and afternoon session.  Our support for a bullish Sterling for the day was, 1.6098 and Sterling only but for a brief time maintain above that goal.  The support for a bullish Sterling for the week is, 1.6025 which currently Sterling is at, 1.6124 at 10:10 p.m. EST. In fact the only thing that drag Sterling slightly was the, dovish new from the Aussie, about cutting rates if the news was more on a Hawkish level this evening Sterling would be pushing 1.6200!

Technical levels for today:

Support for bullish trend is, 1.6108 currently Sterling is at, 1.6126, 10:15 p.m. EST. So Sterling is currently bullish, the next level to break is, 1.6130 if support is made the next key level to break is, 1.6144 and finally and very strong Sterling hits a high of, 1.6165 or higher for today's session.

If Sterling doesn't find support above 1.6108, the next level is, 1.6086, if Sterling continues to bear it may hit a level of 1.6072, before finding bullish volume.  However if this level is broken Sterling could hit a low of, 1.6051, before bullish volume returns.

Fundamentally we have three reports at, 4:30 a.m. EST. two with a status of, Medium and one with a status of, Low.  Check your Economic calendar for details....

Thank you for your time and have a great day.
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Saturday, April 21, 2012

THE RETURN OF THE BULLISH TECHNICAL TREND FOR STERLING

Quick review!, last blog posted 11/08/2011 why? major Dollar bull through January 13, 2012. Sterling had retrace back to 1.5232 which is as close as we want to get to or below the 1.5000 level which is THE MAJOR SUPPORT LEVEL for our Global economy (please review past blogs for details).

Basically Sterling has been (one of) the most impressive currency so fair this year, since 01/13/2012 with a bid price of 1.5232 it has been on a major bull move since hitting a high of 1.6141 this Friday 04/20/2012 after the release of the fundamental trade,"Retail Sales".  That +909 pips in just under 100 days, excellent profit taking!

Sterling close Friday at 1.6118 after hitting a high of  1.6141 one of best bullish trend weeks I have taken part of in months, with a low of 1.5817 on 04/16/2012 sterling posted +324 pips at it high Friday. A excellent week for scalping, short-term & swing trading the Sterling bull.

Going into Sunday, 04/22/2012 thru Monday 04/23/2012:

Bullish support level is, 1.6098 if this level holds the next level to break for continued bull move is, 1.6138 the next level is 1.6163 and the final bullish support level is 1.6201

If Sterling doesn't found support at 1.6098 it may fall to 1.6058 if this level doesn't hold the next level is 1.6033 if sterling continues too drop it may hit a low of 1.5995 before finding bullish support.

Major technical outlook for the whole week:

Bullish support level is, 1.6025 (Sterling closed Friday at, 1.6118).  The next level too break for continue bullish move is, 1.6148 if this level holds the next level too break is 1.6226 and finally the highest level technically for the week is 1.6343.

If Sterling doesn't find support at 1.6025 it may bear to 1.5902 if this level doesn't hold the next level of support is, 1.5824 if Sterling continues to bear it could hit a low of 1.5707, before regaining bullish volume.

Basically with the performance of Sterling this year so fair and with the Global economy recovering, also the parallel effect of the Olympics being held in London this year, shorting Sterling is highly not recommended, unless you choose to in short-term fundamental trades.

Please review your economic calendar for fundamental events that may effort technical analysis.
Trade with the trend!!, Beware of drag!,(staying in loosing trades and destroying your risk/reward ratios)

Thank you for your time and have a great day.
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